Thursday, May 28, 2009

Swat Operation & The Lahore Blast


Three weeks into the conflict and the devastating aftermath of the Swat Operations are on the forefront. The Lahore blast can easily be documented as a Prime Beginning into the retaliation by the Talibans.
Pakistan government had marshaled 15,000 troops into the swat valley to eliminate and annihilate the “existential threat” consuming the US war in Afghanistan.

Apparently, and for all reasons logically perceived, Pakistan had never been a part of the ongoing War on Terror, though there had been claim of Pakistan being a close ally of the US on the war, its actual participation had yet to be compromised. The Bush administration had tried its utmost tactics to indulge Pakistan with itself, yet their threatening attitude brought them no gain. On the contrary, the recent Obama administration, realizing the fact that Pakistan’s involvement is the certain key to its triumph in Afghanistan, sought to boisterously aid Pakistan and buys them into the bargain.

The onslaught by the Pakistan army in the Swat Valley is a prime war tactic profoundly utilized by large armies battling out insurgencies. The fleeing Afghan Talibans sought refuge in the North Frontier Province of Pakistan in the homes of their Pakhtun brothers who would help and aid them in their resurgence. The clan-brotherhood of the Pakhtuns is one of a kind in the world. Thus these lands were converted into rendezvous points and it was through these lands that the recent uprising of Taliban began.

The US having little access to these lands had no other option but to pile up pressure on the Pakistan government and force them into launching an assault

The end to the Swat Operation is as uncertain as its success or failure. Yet, the repercussions have started its toll. Pakistan risks greater backlash and further destabilization in the country. The Pakistan army may make short-term gains, but it risks increase terror-like attacks on more stable areas of eastern Pakistan. The very indiscriminate nature of military response may well be storing up resentment elsewhere and ability of Taliban-like-groups to quickly inflate in other areas as they are squeezed in Swat is of particular concern.

The Taliban and its allies will resort to increase terrorist attacks elsewhere in Pakistan and then there will be two questions left with Pakistan. One is whether the army and police can hold the territories it has conquered, and secondly – more questionably, will they go on to reconquer other areas on the Afghan Frontier (rendezvous points) as the US would like.

The only, materialistically viable solution for a long-term stability in Pakistan is dependant on the withdrawal of US forces from Afghanistan and not merely reinforcing Pakistan army and police and pumping in aid to undercut insurgency. It is the US presence in Afghanistan that is feeding the insurgency in Pakistan and eventually in Afghanistan.


3 comments:

Unknown said...

what do u think about full scale operation in lahore & peshawer like as sawat

alot of taliban entered in lahore & peshawer & they doing bum blasting contuning again & again & they have solid position in lhr & peshawer may be Taliban will be enter on more cities of pakistan after lahore therefore i think army should launched operation in lhr & peshawer
lhr & peshawer peoples also should migrate & leave both city for safeness of pakistan

agar sawt walay pakistan ki baqa ki waja se hijrat karr rahe hain to taliban to ab lhr or peshawer me bhi a chukay hain te mera khayal hai inko bhi hijrat karni chahiye or army ko lhr or peshawer me bhi operation karna chahiye in taliban kay khilaf ..jab hi in logo ko pata chalay ga kay hijrat kia hoti hai phir me inse poocho ga kay operation hona chahiye ya nahi

this is not my word this comment given by sawat migrate person that is living in khi

what do u think in

BiLo said...

Mishkat,
I understand the overflowing sentiments, and trust me I am no one to judge it. However, the people of Lahore and Peshawar, which are only a small part of Pakistan, need to become aware of the very ground realities of the war on terror. It is because of the frivolous operation by the US army in Afghanistan and subsequently, the hind-sighted Pakistani government, have fallen prey to them.
If there becomes a common understanding among the people of Pakistan, that how much part of the war-on-Terror is in ours, the current situation would deflate within itself.
As for the people of Lahore and Peshawar to migrate, the 1.2 million people displaced have created havoc already that further MIGRATION could be tolerated.

Saeed Shiekh said...

we are pakistanis and need to know that the true causes o the swat operations. only in pakistan, will millions of people be left away from their homes. but why? who created this mess ? innocent people dying becuase a few highups played a game? the time has come. we need to wake up. show us the right picture